{"id":1858,"date":"2010-05-10T06:15:52","date_gmt":"2010-05-09T22:15:52","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.jsvest.com.cn\/?p=1858"},"modified":"2014-04-17T14:17:24","modified_gmt":"2014-04-17T06:17:24","slug":"%e4%b8%aa%e4%ba%ba%e6%8a%95%e8%b5%84%e8%80%85%e9%9c%80%e8%ad%a6%e6%83%95%e8%b5%84%e4%ba%a7%e6%b3%a1%e6%b2%ab","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/www.jsvest.com.cn\/?p=1858","title":{"rendered":"\u4e2a\u4eba\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u9700\u8b66\u60d5\u8d44\u4ea7\u6ce1\u6cab"},"content":{"rendered":"<style type=\"text\/css\">\np{text-indent:2em;}\n<\/style>\n<div class=\"wenzhangdivbox\">\n<p>\u5c31\u7ecf\u6d4e\u73b0\u72b6\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u592a\u5e73\u6d0b\u4e24\u5cb8\u7684\u4e2d\u56fd\u548c\u7f8e\u56fd\u4f3c\u4e4e\u4e00\u4e2a\u5728\u5929\u5802\uff0c\u4e00\u4e2a\u5728\u5730\u72f1\u3002\u897f\u5cb8\u7684\u4e2d\u56fd\uff0c\u6c7d\u8f66\u5e74\u9500\u91cf\u8d85\u8fc71300\u4e07\u8f86\uff0c\u6709\u94b1\u8fd8\u4e0d\u4e00\u5b9a\u63d0\u5f97\u5230\u8f66\uff1b\u623f\u4ef7\u6309\u4e24\u4f4d\u6570\u4e0a\u6da8\uff0c\u4e0a\u6d77\u7b49\u57ce\u5e02\u7684\u623f\u5c4b\u8ba1\u4ef7\u5355\u4f4d\u66f4\u7531\u767e\u4e07\u5143\u8dc3\u4e0a\u5343\u4e07\u5143\u7684\u53f0\u9636\u3002\u53cd\u89c2\u4e1c\u5cb8\uff0c\u8f66\u5546\u5728\u7cbe\u5fc3\u51c6\u5907\u7740\u5c06\u6c7d\u8f66\u6309\u7167\u54c1\u724c\u6253\u5305\u5356\u7ed9\u4e2d\u56fd\u4eba\uff1b\u6709\u4e9b\u623f\u4e1c\u751a\u81f3\u5c06\u623f\u5b50\u6309\u7167\u6c7d\u8f66\u7684\u4ef7\u683c\u6765\u53eb\u5356\u3002\u8fd9\u4e00\u5207\u6050\u6015\u90fd\u8981\u5f52\u56e0\u4e8e\u5168\u7403\u91d1\u878d\u5371\u673a\uff0c\u4e3a\u4e86\u5e94\u5bf9\u5b83\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u63a8\u51fa\u7684\u79ef\u6781\u8d22\u653f\u653f\u7b56\u548c\u5bbd\u677e\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u9020\u5c31\u4e86\u8f66\u5e02\u548c\u623f\u5e02\u7684\u4e00\u6d3e\u7e41\u8363\u666f\u8c61\uff1b\u4e5f\u662f\u56e0\u4e3a\u5b83\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u5404\u7ea7\u653f\u5e9c\u548c\u5e7f\u5927\u6c11\u4f17\u6df1\u611f\u56ca\u4e2d\u7f9e\u6da9\uff0c\u82e6\u4e0d\u582a\u8a00\u3002\u4e0d\u8fc7\uff0c\u7b14\u8005\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u4e2a\u4eba\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u9700\u8981\u4fdd\u6301\u6e05\u9192\u7684\u5934\u8111\uff0c\u5bf9\u8d44\u4ea7\u7684\u6ce1\u6cab\u5316\u8981\u6709\u6240\u8ba4\u77e5\u3001\u8b66\u89c9\u548c\u9632\u8303\u3002<\/p>\n<p>              <P><strong>\u8d44\u4ea7\u6ce1\u6cab\u7684\u751f\u547d\u5468\u671f<\/strong><br \/><\/P><\/p>\n<p>\u6839\u636e\u300a\u975e\u7406\u6027\u7e41\u8363\u300b\uff08Irrational Exuberance\uff09\u4e00\u4e66\u7684\u4f5c\u8005\u3001\u7f8e\u56fd\u8036\u9c81\u5927\u5b66\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u6559\u6388\u5e0c\u52d2\uff08Robert J. Shiller\uff09\u7684\u63cf\u8ff0\uff0c\u8d44\u4ea7\u6ce1\u6cab\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u7531\u4f17\u591a\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u7684\u975e\u7406\u6027\u884c\u4e3a\u5bfc\u81f4\u7684\u81ea\u7136\u91d1\u5b57\u5854\u9a97\u5c40\uff08\u5e9e\u6c0f\u9a97\u5c40\uff0cPonzi Scheme\uff09\u3002\u4ee5\u80a1\u5e02\u4e3a\u4f8b\uff0c\u4e00\u4e2a\u5178\u578b\u6ce1\u6cab\u7684\u751f\u547d\u5468\u671f\u5927\u81f4\u5305\u542b\u4e94\u4e2a\u9636\u6bb5\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u7b2c\u4e00\u9636\u6bb5\uff0c\u5f53\u4e00\u90e8\u5206\u4eba\u5728\u80a1\u5e02\u91cc\u8d5a\u5230\u94b1\u7684\u6545\u4e8b\u901a\u8fc7\u5a92\u4f53\u53d1\u5e03\u6216\u53e3\u8033\u76f8\u4f20\u7b49\u9014\u5f84\u4f20\u64ad\u540e\uff0c\u8bb8\u591a\u4eba\u4f1a\u88ab\u5438\u5f15\u5165\u5e02\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u5bfc\u81f4\u80a1\u5e02\u8d5a\u94b1\u6548\u5e94\u5feb\u901f\u6025\u5267\u653e\u5927\uff0c\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u5438\u5f15\u66f4\u591a\u7684\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u52a0\u5165\u3002\u4f46\u662f\uff0c\u80a1\u7968\u7684\u5185\u5728\u6295\u8d44\u4ef7\u503c\u5e76\u4e0d\u7531\u77ed\u671f\u7684\u5e02\u573a\u9700\u6c42\u51b3\u5b9a\uff0c\u800c\u7531\u4e0a\u5e02\u4f01\u4e1a\u7684\u957f\u671f\u53ef\u6301\u7eed\u76c8\u5229\u80fd\u529b\u51b3\u5b9a\u3002\u5f53\u7531\u77ed\u671f\u9700\u6c42\u51b3\u5b9a\u7684\u80a1\u7968\u4ef7\u683c\u8d85\u8fc7\u5176\u5185\u5728\u6295\u8d44\u4ef7\u503c\u4e00\u5b9a\u7a0b\u5ea6\u65f6\uff0c\u90e8\u5206\u201c\u77e5\u60c5\u201d\u7684\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u4f1a\u9010\u6b65\u5957\u73b0\u5e76\u64a4\u79bb\u5e02\u573a\uff0c\u751a\u81f3\u5f00\u59cb\u505a\u7a7a\u3002\u88ab\u8d5a\u94b1\u6548\u5e94\u5438\u5f15\u8fdb\u6765\u3001\u6000\u6709\u4e0d\u5207\u5b9e\u9645\u6536\u76ca\u9884\u671f\u7684\u201c\u4e0d\u77e5\u60c5\u201d\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u7684\u961f\u4f0d\u5219\u4e0d\u65ad\u58ee\u5927\uff0c\u900f\u652f\u4ea4\u6613\u4e5f\u5f00\u59cb\u6d3b\u8dc3\u8d77\u6765\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u7b2c\u4e8c\u9636\u6bb5\uff0c\u968f\u7740\u5e02\u573a\u4e0a\u201c\u4e0d\u77e5\u60c5\u201d\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u961f\u4f0d\u7684\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u58ee\u5927\uff0c\u4ea4\u6295\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u6d3b\u8dc3\uff0c\u80a1\u4ef7\u7684\u4e0a\u6da8\u903c\u8feb\u505a\u7a7a\u8005\u4e0d\u65ad\u4e70\u5165\u80a1\u7968\u5e73\u4ed3\uff0c\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u63a8\u9ad8\u4e86\u80a1\u4ef7\u3002\u6b64\u65f6\uff0c\u4eba\u4eec\u7684\u6ce8\u610f\u529b\u4ece\u4e1a\u7ee9\u8f83\u597d\u3001\u5e02\u503c\u76d8\u5b50\u8f83\u5927\u3001\u5728\u56fd\u6c11\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6216\u4ea7\u4e1a\u4e2d\u5360\u6709\u4e3e\u8db3\u8f7b\u91cd\u5730\u4f4d\u7684\u201c\u84dd\u7b79\u201d\u516c\u53f8\uff0c\u8f6c\u79fb\u5230\u4e1a\u7ee9\u5e73\u5e73\u751a\u81f3\u7cdf\u7cd5\u3001\u5e02\u503c\u76d8\u5b50\u5c0f\u3001\u7edd\u5bf9\u80a1\u4ef7\u4f4e\u7684\u4e2d\u5c0f\u76d8\u6216\u201c\u5783\u573e\u201d\u80a1\u7968\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u6c1b\u56f4\u7531\u6295\u8d44\u5411\u6295\u673a\u53d1\u751f\u8d28\u7684\u53d8\u5316\u3002\u5728\u6b64\u80cc\u666f\u4e0b\uff0c\u201c\u77e5\u60c5\u201d\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u52a0\u901f\u79bb\u573a\uff0c\u6295\u673a\u8005\u900f\u652f\u5f00\u59cb\u6cdb\u6ee5\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u7a7a\u5934\u5934\u5bf8\u4e5f\u5f00\u59cb\u653e\u5927\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u53c2\u4e0e\u8005\u5bf9\u540e\u5e02\u770b\u6cd5\u51fa\u73b0\u4e25\u91cd\u7684\u5206\u6b67\u3002\u4e0e\u6b64\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u5a92\u4f53\u3001\u5b66\u672f\u754c\u4e43\u81f3\u76d1\u7ba1\u8005\u4e5f\u88ab\u5377\u5165\u5230\u80a1\u5e02\u4f30\u503c\u662f\u5426\u5408\u7406\u7684\u53e3\u6c34\u6218\u4e2d\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u7b2c\u4e09\u9636\u6bb5\uff0c\u5f53\u5e02\u573a\u662f\u5426\u5b58\u5728\u201c\u6ce1\u6cab\u201d\u7684\u4e89\u8bba\u767d\u70ed\u5316\u5230\u4e00\u5b9a\u7a0b\u5ea6\u65f6\uff0c\u672a\u52a0\u5165\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u6f5c\u5728\u201c\u4e0d\u77e5\u60c5\u201d \u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5728\u51b3\u7b56\u4e0a\u66f4\u4e3a\u8fdf\u7591\u548c\u8c28\u614e\uff1b\u5df2\u7ecf\u53c2\u4e0e\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5f00\u59cb\u611f\u5230\u7126\u8651\u548c\u4e0d\u5b89\uff0c\u5e76\u5f00\u59cb\u6000\u7591\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u9884\u671f\uff0c\u751a\u81f3\u52a8\u6447\u4fe1\u5fc3\uff1b\u6295\u673a\u8005\u5f00\u59cb\u7f29\u51cf\u900f\u652f\u89c4\u6a21\uff1b\u7a7a\u5934\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5219\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u653e\u5927\u5934\u5bf8\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u7b2c\u56db\u9636\u6bb5\uff0c\u5728\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u60c5\u7eea\u53d8\u5316\u7684\u6f5c\u79fb\u9ed8\u5316\u4e4b\u4e0b\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u4f9b\u6c42\u5173\u7cfb\u518d\u6b21\u53d1\u751f\u53d8\u5316\u3002\u5f53\u8fd9\u79cd\u53d8\u5316\u79ef\u7d2f\u5230\u4e34\u754c\u7a0b\u5ea6\u65f6\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u98ce\u9669\u4e5f\u5230\u4e86\u6700\u5927\u6781\u9650\u3002\u8fd9\u65f6\uff0c\u4efb\u4f55\u653f\u7b56\u9762\u6216\u6d88\u606f\u9762\u7684\u7a81\u53d1\u4e8b\u4ef6\u90fd\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u6210\u4e3a\u5e02\u573a\u5411\u4e0b\u7684\u5bfc\u706b\u7d22\u3002\u6b64\u65f6\uff0c\u6f5c\u5728\u7684\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u4f1a\u9a7b\u8db3\u4e0d\u524d\uff0c\u73b0\u6709\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u7684\u4fe1\u5fc3\u88ab\u52a8\u6447\uff0c\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u5927\u7684\u5356\u538b\u5bfc\u81f4\u80a1\u4ef7\u5f00\u59cb\u52a0\u901f\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff0c\u6ce1\u6cab\u5f00\u59cb\u7834\u88c2\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u7b2c\u4e94\u9636\u6bb5\uff0c\u4e0d\u65ad\u4e0b\u8dcc\u7684\u5e02\u573a\u5bfc\u81f4\u900f\u652f\u4ea4\u6613\u7684\u62b5\u62bc\u8bc1\u5238\u5e02\u503c\u7f29\u6c34\uff0c\u5238\u5546\u4e0d\u5f97\u4e0d\u5bf9\u90a3\u4e9b\u65e0\u6cd5\u8ffd\u52a0\u4fdd\u8bc1\u91d1\u7684\u8d26\u6237\u8fdb\u884c\u5f3a\u5236\u5e73\u4ed3\uff0c\u8fd9\u4f1a\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u52a0\u5267\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u4e0b\u8dcc\u3002\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u90a3\u4e9b\u904d\u4f53\u9cde\u4f24\u7684\u201c\u4e0d\u77e5\u60c5\u201d\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u7684\u98ce\u9669\u627f\u53d7\u529b\u5e95\u7ebf\u88ab\u7a81\u7834\uff0c\u7eb7\u7eb7\u5272\u8089\u79bb\u573a\uff0c\u6ce1\u6cab\u5f7b\u5e95\u7834\u88c2\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4e0d\u96be\u770b\u51fa\uff0c\u6ce1\u6cab\u7684\u5f62\u6210\u4e3b\u8981\u4f9d\u8d56\u4e8e\u5e9e\u5927\u7684\u201c\u4e0d\u77e5\u60c5\u201d\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u6216\u6295\u673a\u8005\u961f\u4f0d\u4ee5\u53ca\u553e\u624b\u53ef\u5f97\u7684\u4fe1\u7528\u3002\u7531\u4e8e\u4eba\u6027\u7684\u5f31\u70b9\u6240\u81f4\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u975e\u5e38\u5bb9\u6613\u597d\u4e86\u4f24\u75a4\u5fd8\u4e86\u75bc\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u5bfc\u81f4\u6ce1\u6cab\u603b\u4f1a\u5728\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u65f6\u95f4\u3001\u8d44\u4ea7\u6216\u8005\u5e02\u573a\u4e0a\u91cd\u73b0\u3002\u4ee5\u80a1\u5e02\u4e3a\u4f8b\uff0c\u4e0a\u4e16\u7eaa80\u5e74\u4ee3\u672b\uff0c\u65e5\u672c\u51fa\u73b0\u4e25\u91cd\u7684\u8d44\u4ea7\u6ce1\u6cab\uff0c\u4ee5\u65e5\u7ecf255\u6307\u6570\u4e3a\u4ee3\u8868\u7684\u4e1c\u4eac\u80a1\u5e02\u4e8e1989\u5e7412\u670829\u65e5\u89e6\u9876\u540e\u8f6c\u52bf\u76f4\u4e0b\uff0c20\u5e74\u8fc7\u53bb\u4e86\uff0c\u5f53\u5e74\u6295\u8d44\u65e5\u7ecf255\u6307\u6570\u76841\u4e07\u65e5\u5143\u52302009\u5e74\u5e95\u53ea\u5269\u7ea62700\u65e5\u5143\u3002\u5343\u79a7\u5e74\u53d1\u751f\u5728\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u4e92\u8054\u7f51\u80a1\u7968\u6ce1\u6cab\u7684\u7834\u88c2\u540c\u6837\u4ee4\u90e8\u5206\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u523b\u9aa8\u94ed\u5fc3\uff0c\u7531\u4e0d\u5305\u542b\u91d1\u878d\u80a1\u7684\u7eb3\u65af\u8fbe\u514b\u5e02\u573a\u6700\u5927\u7684100\u53ea\u80a1\u7968\u7ec4\u6210\u7684\u7eb3\u65af\u8fbe\u514b100\u6307\u6570\uff0c\u4e8e2000\u5e743\u670827\u65e5\u89c1\u9876\u540e\uff0c\u5728\u4e00\u5e74\u65f6\u95f4\u91cc\u8dcc\u903e80%\uff0c\u5982\u4eca\u8fd1\u5341\u5e74\u8fc7\u53bb\u4e86\uff0c\u5176\u635f\u5931\u4ecd\u7136\u9ad8\u8fbe60%\u3002\u6700\u8ba9\u4e2d\u56fd\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u8bb0\u5fc6\u72b9\u65b0\u7684\u83ab\u8fc7\u4e8e2007\u5e74A\u80a1\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u75af\u72c2\u4e0a\u6da8\u548c2008\u5e74\u7684\u60e8\u75db\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff0c\u65f6\u81f3\u4eca\u65e5\uff0c\u4e0a\u8bc1\u6307\u6570\u4ecd\u6709\u7ea6\u4e00\u534a\u7684\u5931\u5730\u5c1a\u672a\u6536\u590d\uff08\u88681\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-indent:0em;\" align=\"center\"><img src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/05\/geren_1.gif\" \/><\/p>\n<p>\u867d\u7136\u8ba8\u8bba\u5386\u53f2\u4e0a\u7684\u80a1\u5e02\u6ce1\u6cab\u591a\u5c11\u6709\u4e9b\u9a6c\u540e\u70ae\u7684\u5473\u9053\uff0c\u4f46\u662f\u5386\u53f2\u544a\u8bc9\u6211\u4eec\uff0c\u8d44\u4ea7\u6ce1\u6cab\u7684\u6700\u5927\u53d7\u5bb3\u8005\u90fd\u662f\u90a3\u4e9b\u88ab\u5e02\u573a\u6025\u5267\u4e0a\u5347\u7684\u6536\u76ca\u6548\u5e94\u6240\u5438\u5f15\u7684\u65b0\u201c\u4e0d\u77e5\u60c5\u201d\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u3002\u4ee4\u4eba\u62c5\u5fe7\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u8bb8\u591a\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u4f3c\u4e4e\u6ca1\u6709\u5b8c\u5168\u4ece2007\u5e74\u80a1\u5e02\u6ce1\u6cab\u7684\u7834\u88c2\u4e2d\u5438\u53d6\u6559\u8bad\uff0c\u53c8\u88ab\u8fd1\u5e74\u623f\u5730\u4ea7\u5e02\u573a\u6025\u5267\u4e0a\u5347\u7684\u6536\u76ca\u6240\u5438\u5f15\u3002<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u623f\u5730\u4ea7\u7684\u6295\u8d44\u4ef7\u503c\u7531\u57fa\u672c\u9762\u56e0\u7d20\u51b3\u5b9a<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u4ece\u4f30\u503c\u4e0a\u770b\uff0c\u623f\u5730\u4ea7\u7684\u6295\u8d44\u4ef7\u503c\u53d6\u51b3\u4e8e\u4e24\u4e2a\u56e0\u7d20\uff1a\u79df\u91d1\u6536\u5165\u4e0e\u5347\u503c\u9884\u671f\u3002\u5728\u4e00\u4e2a\u4f30\u503c\u76f8\u5bf9\u6b63\u5e38\u7684\u5e02\u573a\u4e0a\uff0c\u79df\u91d1\u6536\u5165\u901a\u5e38\u80fd\u591f\u6216\u63a5\u8fd1\u4e8e\u80fd\u591f\u652f\u4ed8\u623f\u5730\u4ea7\u7684\u8d37\u6b3e\u5229\u606f\u3001\u7269\u4e1a\u7a0e\u8d39\u3001\u4fee\u7f2e\u548c\u7ef4\u62a4\u8d39\u7528\u7b49\u652f\u51fa\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u8282\u7701\u6295\u8d44\u6210\u672c\uff1b\u800c\u623f\u4ef7\u7684\u5347\u503c\u9884\u671f\u901a\u5e38\u53d6\u51b3\u4e8e\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u6240\u8981\u6c42\u7684\u98ce\u9669\u6ea2\u4ef7\u548c\u7269\u4e1a\u672c\u8eab\u7684\u5730\u7406\u4f4d\u7f6e\u6ea2\u4ef7\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4ece\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0a\u770b\uff0c\u623f\u5730\u4ea7\u7684\u4ea4\u6613\u4ef7\u683c\u53d6\u51b3\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u4e0a\u4e70\u5356\u529b\u9053\u7684\u5e73\u8861\uff0c\u5373\u4f9b\u6c42\u5173\u7cfb\u7684\u5747\u8861\u3002\u571f\u5730\u7a00\u7f3a\u4e0e\u5426\u3001\u5f00\u53d1\u548c\u52a8\u5de5\u8bb8\u53ef\u5236\u5ea6\u3001\u653f\u5e9c\u5bf9\u623f\u5730\u4ea7\u5f00\u53d1\u5546\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u53d6\u5411\u3001\u94f6\u884c\u7b49\u91d1\u878d\u673a\u6784\u5bf9\u5f00\u53d1\u5546\u7684\u4fe1\u8d37\u653f\u7b56\u7b49\uff0c\u90fd\u662f\u5f71\u54cd\u4f9b\u7ed9\u7684\u5173\u952e\u56e0\u7d20\uff1b\u4eba\u53e3\u589e\u957f\u7387\u548c\u5c31\u4e1a\u7387\u3001\u52b3\u52a8\u529b\u85aa\u916c\u548c\u53ef\u652f\u914d\u6536\u5165\u6c34\u5e73\u3001\u4f4f\u623f\u6309\u63ed\u8d37\u6b3e\u7b49\u4fe1\u7528\u5de5\u5177\u7684\u53d1\u8fbe\u7a0b\u5ea6\u548c\u501f\u8d37\u6210\u672c\u3001\u4e1a\u4e3b\u7a0e\u8d39\u8d1f\u62c5\u3001\u5e02\u573a\u4e0a\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u7684\u60c5\u7eea\u7b49\uff0c\u5219\u76f4\u63a5\u51b3\u5b9a\u4e86\u623f\u5730\u4ea7\u7684\u9700\u6c42\u6c34\u5e73\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u65e0\u8bba\u662f\u79df\u623f\u8fd8\u662f\u8d37\u6b3e\u4e70\u623f\uff0c\u5c45\u6c11\u5fc5\u987b\u6709\u4e00\u5b9a\u7684\u8d22\u5bcc\u79ef\u7d2f\u6216\u8005\u7a33\u5b9a\u7684\u53ef\u652f\u914d\u6536\u5165\u6765\u627f\u53d7\u73b0\u91d1\u652f\u51fa\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u623f\u5730\u4ea7\u4ef7\u503c\u7684\u957f\u671f\u8d70\u52bf\u53d6\u51b3\u4e8e\u5f53\u5730\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d1\u5c55\u6240\u5bfc\u81f4\u7684\u4eba\u53e3\u589e\u957f\u548c\u5c45\u6c11\u6536\u5165\u589e\u957f\u6240\u51b3\u5b9a\u7684\u957f\u671f\u9700\u6c42\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u4e0d\u96be\u7406\u89e3\uff0c\u5f53\u623f\u4ef7\u548c\u5bb6\u5ead\u6536\u5165\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u6bd4\u4f8b\u8d85\u51fa\u4e00\u5b9a\u7684\u8303\u56f4\u65f6\uff0c\u4e3a\u4e86\u7ef4\u6301\u5fc5\u8981\u7684\u751f\u6d3b\u6c34\u5e73\uff0c\u5c45\u6c11\u7684\u8d2d\u623f\u80fd\u529b\u5c06\u53d7\u5230\u4e25\u91cd\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u5176\u8d2d\u623f\u6b32\u671b\u4e5f\u5fc5\u7136\u53d7\u5230\u6253\u538b\u3002\u540c\u6837\uff0c\u5f53\u4e00\u5730\u7684\u79df\u623f\u6210\u672c\u5360\u5c45\u6c11\u53ef\u652f\u914d\u6536\u5165\u7684\u6bd4\u4f8b\u8fbe\u5230\u4e00\u5b9a\u9650\u5ea6\u65f6\uff0c\u4e00\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u79df\u5ba2\u4eec\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u9009\u62e9\u8fc1\u5c45\u5176\u4ed6\u4f4f\u623f\u6210\u672c\u76f8\u5bf9\u8f83\u4f4e\u7684\u5730\u65b9\uff0c\u51cf\u5c11\u5bf9\u51fa\u79df\u623f\u5c4b\u7684\u9700\u6c42\uff1b\u53e6\u4e00\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u8f83\u9ad8\u7684\u79df\u91d1\u56de\u62a5\u7387\u53ef\u80fd\u5438\u5f15\u66f4\u591a\u7684\u623f\u5730\u4ea7\u6295\u8d44\uff0c\u589e\u52a0\u53ef\u51fa\u79df\u623f\u5c4b\u7684\u4f9b\u7ed9\uff0c\u8fd9\u90fd\u6709\u5229\u4e8e\u5c06\u79df\u91d1\u6c34\u5e73\u7ef4\u6301\u5728\u6bd4\u8f83\u5408\u7406\u7684\u8303\u56f4\u5185\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4ee5\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e3a\u4f8b\uff0c\u65e0\u8bba\u4e1a\u4e3b\u8fd8\u662f\u79df\u5ba2\uff08\u5e73\u5747\u6536\u5165\u7ea6\u4e3a\u4e1a\u4e3b\u4eba\u7fa4\u7684\u4e00\u534a\uff09\uff0c\u5176\u4f4f\u623f\u652f\u51fa\u57fa\u672c\u4e0a\u4e0d\u8d85\u8fc7\u6536\u5165\u76841\/3\uff08\u56fe1\uff09\u3002\u5373\u4f7f\u5982\u6b64\uff0c\u5728\u91d1\u878d\u5371\u673a\u7684\u51b2\u51fb\u4e0b\uff0c2009\u5e74\u4ecd\u6709\u7ea6280\u4e07\u4e2a\u5355\u4f4d\u7684\u4e1a\u4e3b\u56e0\u65e0\u6cd5\u6309\u65f6\u652f\u4ed8\u6309\u63ed\u6b3e\u800c\u6536\u5230\u4e86\u6b62\u8d4e\u901a\u77e5\u3002<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-indent:0em;\" align=\"center\"><img src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/05\/geren_2.gif\" \/><\/p>\n<p>\u53ef\u89c1\uff0c\u4e00\u5e62\u623f\u5c4b\u7684\u4ef7\u503c\u8fd8\u662f\u53d6\u51b3\u4e8e\u5b83\u5230\u5e95\u80fd\u591f\u521b\u9020\u591a\u5c11\u5305\u62ec\u79df\u91d1\u6536\u5165\u6216\u79df\u91d1\u8282\u7701\u5728\u5185\u7684\u73b0\u91d1\u6d41\u4ef7\u503c\uff0c\u5b8c\u5168\u4f9d\u8d56\u623f\u4ef7\u5347\u503c\u7684\u9884\u671f\u6765\u6295\u8d44\u623f\u5730\u4ea7\u662f\u76f2\u76ee\u7684\u3002<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u65e7\u91d1\u5c71\u7684\u623f\u4ef7\u4e3a\u4ec0\u4e48\u4f1a\u8dcc\uff1f<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u957f\u671f\u4ee5\u6765\uff0c\u65e7\u91d1\u5c71\u662f\u8bb8\u591a\u7f8e\u56fd\u5bcc\u4eba\uff08\u5c24\u5176\u662f\u4e9a\u88d4\uff09\u6295\u8d44\u623f\u5730\u4ea7\u7684\u9996\u9009\u4e4b\u5730\u3002\u4f18\u7f8e\u7684\u6d77\u6d0b\u57ce\u5e02\u98ce\u5149\u3001\u56db\u5b63\u5b9c\u4eba\u7684\u6c14\u5019\u3001\u5f00\u653e\u5305\u5bb9\u7684\u6587\u5316\u7b49\u5438\u5f15\u7740\u4f17\u591a\u56fd\u5185\u5916\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u524d\u6765\u7f6e\u4e1a\u3002\u5468\u8fb9\u7684\u65af\u5766\u798f\u5927\u5b66\u7b49\u4f17\u591a\u9ad8\u6821\u6e90\u6e90\u4e0d\u65ad\u5730\u7ed9\u7845\u8c37\u7684\u9ad8\u79d1\u6280\u4f01\u4e1a\u8f93\u9001\u9ad8\u7d20\u8d28\u7684\u4eba\u624d\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u4f01\u4e1a\u5219\u901a\u8fc7\u5458\u5de5\u6301\u80a1\u8ba1\u5212\u5236\u9020\u7740\u5927\u6279\u7684\u79d1\u6280\u5bcc\u4eba\u3002\u8fd9\u4e00\u5207\u4e0d\u65ad\u5c06\u65e7\u91d1\u5c71\u7684\u623f\u4ef7\u63a8\u5411\u9ad8\u4f4d\uff0c\u4e5f\u8ba9\u8bb8\u591a\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff1a\u5982\u679c\u6709\u623f\u5730\u4ea7\u6ce1\u6cab\u7834\u88c2\u8fd9\u56de\u4e8b\uff0c\u65e7\u91d1\u5c71\u80af\u5b9a\u662f\u6700\u540e\u4e00\u7ad9\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4f46\u662f\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u8fde\u7eed\u591a\u5e74\u7684\u623f\u4ef7\u4e0a\u6da8\u901f\u5ea6\u8d85\u8fc7\u4e86\u5c45\u6c11\u6536\u5165\u7684\u589e\u957f\u901f\u5ea6\uff0c\u5bfc\u81f4\u5f53\u5730\u623f\u4ef7\u548c\u6536\u5165\u6bd4\u4e5f\u4e00\u8def\u6500\u5347\uff0c\u4e8e2007\u5e74\u8d85\u8fc7\u4e8611\u500d\uff0c\u8fdc\u9ad8\u4e8e\u5168\u7f8e4-5\u500d\u7684\u5e73\u5747\u6c34\u5e73\uff0c\u5176\u623f\u5730\u4ea7\u6ce1\u6cab\u5316\u7684\u7a0b\u5ea6\u53ef\u89c1\u4e00\u6591\u3002\u53d7\u91d1\u878d\u5371\u673a\u8fd9\u4e00\u5916\u56e0\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u65e7\u91d1\u5c71\u7684\u623f\u4ef7\u57282008\u548c2009\u5e74\u90fd\u51fa\u73b0\u4e86\u5927\u5e45\u5ea6\u7684\u4e0b\u6ed1\uff0c\u81ea2007\u5e74\u7684\u5386\u53f2\u9ad8\u4f4d\u5df2\u7ecf\u7d2f\u8ba1\u4e0b\u8dcc\u7ea650%\uff0c\u6ce1\u6cab\u5b8c\u5168\u7834\u706d\uff08\u56fe2\uff09\u3002\u5982\u679c\u8003\u8651\u5230\u623f\u5730\u4ea7\u7684\u6309\u63ed\u7279\u6027\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u53ef\u60f3\u800c\u77e5\uff0c\u6709\u591a\u5c11\u4e0d\u5e78\u4e1a\u4e3b\u4f53\u73b0\u5728\u623f\u5c4b\u51c0\u503c\u4e0a\u7684\u8d22\u5bcc\u5df2\u88ab\u6d17\u52ab\u4e00\u7a7a\u3002<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-indent:0em;\" align=\"center\"><img src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/05\/geren_3.gif\" \/><\/p>\n<p>\u5982\u679c\u5386\u53f2\u8fd8\u80fd\u591f\u7ed9\u6211\u4eec\u4e00\u4e9b\u5173\u4e8e\u6ce1\u6cab\u7684\u6559\u8bad\u7684\u8bdd\uff0c\u90a3\u5c31\u662f\u4e16\u754c\u4e0a\u6ca1\u6709\u53ea\u6da8\u4e0d\u8dcc\u7684\u5355\u8fb9\u5e02\u573a\u3002\u5c3d\u7ba1\u5728\u6ce1\u6cab\u5f62\u6210\u7684\u8fc7\u7a0b\u4e2d\uff0c\u8d44\u4ea7\u5e02\u573a\u90fd\u7ecf\u5386\u4e86\u4ee4\u4eba\u76ee\u7729\u7684\u6025\u6da8\u9636\u6bb5\uff0c\u4f46\u662f\uff0c\u6ce1\u6cab\u7684\u7834\u88c2\u4e5f\u90fd\u8ba9\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u7ecf\u5386\u4e86\u4e0d\u582a\u56de\u9996\u7684\u60e8\u70c8\u4e0b\u8dcc\u9636\u6bb5\u3002\u53ef\u60dc\u7684\u662f\uff0c2000\u5e74\u4e92\u8054\u7f51\u6ce1\u6cab\u7834\u88c2\u540e\uff0c\u53d7\u4f24\u81f3\u6df1\u7684\u65e7\u91d1\u5c71\u7b49\u5730\u7684\u7f8e\u56fd\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u4e0d\u4ec5\u672a\u80fd\u771f\u6b63\u4ece\u4e2d\u5438\u53d6\u6559\u8bad\uff0c\u53cd\u800c\u76f2\u76ee\u5730\u5c06\u53e6\u4e00\u4e2a\u6ce1\u6cab\u5e02\u573a\u2014\u697c\u5e02\u5f53\u6210\u4e86\u907f\u98ce\u6e2f\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u518d\u6b21\u6210\u4e3a\u6ce1\u6cab\u8d44\u4ea7\u7684\u53d7\u5bb3\u8005\u3002<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u8c01\u8bf4\u623f\u5730\u4ea7\u5e02\u573a\u65e0\u6ce1\u6cab\uff1f<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u5bf9\u4e8e\u623f\u5730\u4ea7\u5e02\u573a\u5230\u5e95\u6709\u6ca1\u6709\u6ce1\u6cab\u8fd9\u4e00\u95ee\u9898\uff0c\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u4eba\u6709\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u8ba4\u8bc6\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5e94\u8be5\u5728\u517c\u542c\u5404\u65b9\u89c2\u70b9\u548c\u5206\u6790\u65b9\u6cd5\u540e\uff0c\u518d\u7ed3\u5408\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u5b9e\u9645\u6295\u8d44\u9700\u6c42\u8fdb\u884c\u5177\u4f53\u5206\u6790\uff0c\u5e76\u4e14\u5c24\u5176\u8981\u8c28\u614e\u5bf9\u5f85\u90a3\u4e9b\u51fa\u4e8e\u81ea\u8eab\u5229\u76ca\u9700\u8981\u800c\u5bf9\u5e02\u573a\u8fdb\u884c\u516c\u5f00\u8bc4\u8bba\u4eba\u58eb\u7684\u8a00\u8bba\uff0c\u6bd4\u5982\uff0c\u8e0f\u7a7a\u7684\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5531\u7a7a\u7684\u76ee\u7684\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u5728\u4e8e\u4fc3\u4f7f\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0b\u8dcc\u5230\u4f4e\u4f4d\u540e\u4e70\u8fdb\u7269\u4e1a\u3002\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u66f4\u9700\u8981\u8b66\u60d5\u90a3\u4e9b\u623f\u5730\u4ea7\u65e0\u6ce1\u6cab\u8bba\u7684\u9f13\u5439\u8005\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u5305\u62ec\u901a\u8fc7\u623f\u5730\u4ea7\u6ce1\u6cab\u53ef\u4ee5\u900f\u652f\u66f4\u591a\u571f\u5730\u51fa\u8ba9\u91d1\u7684\u5730\u65b9\u653f\u5e9c\u5b98\u5458\u3001\u652b\u53d6\u66f4\u591a\u66b4\u5229\u7684\u5f00\u53d1\u5546\u3001\u5c06\u5b58\u6b3e\u8f6c\u5316\u4e3a\u8d37\u6b3e\u5e76\u83b7\u53d6\u5de8\u989d\u5229\u5dee\u6536\u76ca\u7684\u94f6\u884c\u3001\u83b7\u53d6\u66f4\u591a\u4f63\u91d1\u7684\u5730\u4ea7\u4e2d\u4ecb\u3001\u5750\u5730\u6536\u53d6\u9ad8\u989d\u5e7f\u544a\u8d39\u7684\u5a92\u4f53\u7b49\u7b49\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u6700\u9700\u8981\u9884\u4e60\u7684\u529f\u8bfe\u5219\u662f\uff0c\u5047\u5982\u623f\u5730\u4ea7\u6709\u6ce1\u6cab\u4e14\u4e00\u65e6\u7834\u88c2\uff0c\u5bf9\u81ea\u5df1\u6709\u4ec0\u4e48\u6837\u7684\u8d1f\u9762\u5f71\u54cd\uff1f\u5bf9\u4e8e\u4e00\u4e2a\u6709\u56fa\u5b9a\u6536\u5165\u800c\u4e14\u53ef\u4ee5\u8d1f\u62c5\u6309\u63ed\u6708\u4f9b\u7684\u81ea\u4f4f\u5ba2\uff0c\u6ce1\u6cab\u7834\u88c2\u53ef\u80fd\u65e0\u5173\u7d27\u8981\uff0c\u4f46\u662f\uff0c\u5bf9\u4e8e\u4e00\u4e2a\u5c06\u8d44\u4ea7\u4e3b\u8981\u914d\u7f6e\u5728\u623f\u5730\u4ea7\u4e0a\u800c\u4e14\u5927\u91cf\u5229\u7528\u8d37\u6b3e\u7684\u6295\u8d44\u8005\uff0c\u6ce1\u6cab\u7834\u88c2\u7684\u526f\u4f5c\u7528\u53ef\u80fd\u662f\u6bc1\u706d\u6027\u7684\u3002\u5bf9\u4e8e\u540e\u4e00\u7c7b\u6295\u8d44\u8005\uff0c\u5728\u5e02\u573a\u9ad8\u4f4d\u9501\u5b9a\u5229\u6da6\uff0c\u4e58\u673a\u964d\u4f4e\u8d22\u52a1\u6760\u6746\u98ce\u9669\uff0c\u4e0d\u5931\u4e3a\u4e00\u4e2a\u660e\u667a\u7684\u7406\u8d22\u9009\u62e9\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u603b\u4e4b\uff0c\u53ea\u8981\u6709\u5e02\u573a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u5916\u90e8\u5927\u73af\u5883\uff0c\u4eba\u6027\u7684\u8d2a\u5a6a\u548c\u8ddf\u98ce\u5f31\u70b9\u5c31\u4f1a\u5236\u9020\u6ce1\u6cab\uff0c\u6ce1\u6cab\u7684\u7834\u88c2\u5c31\u4f1a\u5bfc\u81f4\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6216\u8005\u91d1\u878d\u5371\u673a\u7684\u53d1\u751f\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u5bf9\u6c11\u4f17\u7684\u8d22\u5bcc\u6784\u6210\u5a01\u80c1\u3002\u4e0d\u8fc7\uff0c\u53ea\u8981\u80fd\u591f\u5b9a\u671f\u6216\u53ca\u65f6\u5730\u5ba1\u89c6\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u8d22\u52a1\u72b6\u51b5\u3001\u6295\u8d44\u76ee\u6807\u548c\u98ce\u9669\u627f\u53d7\u80fd\u529b\uff0c\u5e76\u636e\u6b64\u91cd\u65b0\u8c03\u6574\u8d44\u4ea7\u914d\u7f6e\uff0c\u5b9e\u73b0\u6295\u8d44\u7ec4\u5408\u7684\u591a\u5143\u5316\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u907f\u514d\u8fc7\u5ea6\u501f\u8d37\uff0c\u624b\u6301\u8db3\u591f\u7684\u73b0\u91d1\u50a8\u5907\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5c31\u80fd\u591f\u4ece\u5bb9\u5e94\u5bf9\u8d44\u4ea7\u6ce1\u6cab\u7684\u7834\u88c2\uff0c\u751a\u81f3\u5728\u7834\u88c2\u540e\u7684\u5e02\u573a\u4e0a\u8d81\u4f4e\u5438\u7eb3\uff0c\u83b7\u53d6\u6536\u76ca\u3002<\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u5c31\u7ecf\u6d4e\u73b0\u72b6\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u592a\u5e73\u6d0b\u4e24\u5cb8\u7684\u4e2d\u56fd\u548c\u7f8e\u56fd\u4f3c\u4e4e\u4e00\u4e2a\u5728\u5929\u5802\uff0c\u4e00\u4e2a\u5728\u5730\u72f1\u3002\u897f\u5cb8\u7684\u4e2d\u56fd\uff0c\u6c7d\u8f66\u5e74\u9500\u91cf\u8d85\u8fc71300\u4e07\u8f86\uff0c\u6709\u94b1<\/p>\n<p class=\"more-link\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.jsvest.com.cn\/?p=1858\" class=\"themebutton2\">Read More<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"ngg_post_thumbnail":0},"categories":[11],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.jsvest.com.cn\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1858"}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.jsvest.com.cn\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.jsvest.com.cn\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.jsvest.com.cn\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.jsvest.com.cn\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=1858"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"http:\/\/www.jsvest.com.cn\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1858\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1880,"href":"http:\/\/www.jsvest.com.cn\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1858\/revisions\/1880"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.jsvest.com.cn\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=1858"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.jsvest.com.cn\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=1858"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.jsvest.com.cn\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=1858"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}